WAR OVER IRAN
The news media keep referring to the war in the skies “over” Iran as the “War In Iran.”
A “war in Iran” will not occur until American military boots are on the ground in in that country where they will face more than one million Iranian trained and heavily armed military forces. America has roughly 1.3 million forces across all branches of its military. Israel has roughly 170,000—the very reason why that country has never launched a ground assault against Iran. Israel’s military would be decimated.
The difference between American and Iranian military forces is that Iranian forces would be fighting for survival in cities and terrain they know well while American troops would be fighting for no rational, much less explained, reason. American soldiers would simply be “following orders.” Secretary of War Pete Hegseth could stand before a podium, with slick greased hair shining in the camera lights and a corn cob up his ass, pounding his fists and declaring all sorts of warlike ethos, but it will not give America a victory inside Iran with its 93 million populations—most of whom hate this country.
The American military lost, and retreated, from Iraq; and it lost, and fled, from Afghanistan—just as it fled from Vietnam in 1973. Invading forces, for a host of reasons, always find it difficult, if not impossible, to secure and maintain “victory” on foreign soil: As examples: Napoleon’s invasion of Russia in 1812; Germany’s Operation Barbarossa against Russia (1941); the Russian invasion of Afghanistan (1979); and the Russian invasion of Ukraine (2022).
Fighting with a purpose—in the cities, door to door; in the mountains where the terrain is an impenetrable ally; and with religious fervor as a fanatical support group—will almost always prevail over the forces fighting with lack of purpose. The politics of an increasing body count back home will ultimately force the invaders to flee in disarray from enemy territory as Russia did in Afghanistan in 1989 and as America did in Afghanistan in 2021.
Angry, self-centered, egotistical old men start wars but it is the young men who are ordered to fight them for little or no reason at all. Soldiers as a group do not like fighting wars—the violence, the death, the injuries their battles produce inflicts life-altering damage to the warriors that fight them. Soldiers from every walk of life resent being forced to do what old men with bone spurs are too cowardly to do. As British author David Gemmell wrote in his book “Stormrider” in 2003:
“All wars are started by angry old men, but they are fought by young men who die for reasons that are beyond them. In the end, the same old men sit around tables and the war ends. Nothing is achieved. Nothing is gained. New faces move into old castles, and the sons of the dead build families ready to feed new battleground graveyards.”
If President Donald J. Trump, ex-Fox News host Pete Hegseth, U.S. Senator Lindsay Graham, and all those of like mind believe America can either change or conquer the 3,000-year Persian history of Iran, they are out of their fucking minds. American forces would probably overwhelm Iranian forces in early battles on the ground, but the costs associated with control and occupation of that would be too costly in both human and financial terms to maintain for any extended period of time.
America would be forced to leave in disgrace having accomplished nothing except to make fodder for egotistical banter at Mar-A-Lago parties for rich old white men.
Guess they will have to find another island to go to for childlike comfort.